Precalculus — Stewart Chapter 4.6

Exponential Growth Models

The complete guide to Q = Q0 e^(rt): half-life, doubling time, radioactive decay, population growth, Newton's law of cooling, logistic growth, and compound interest — with six fully worked application problems.

What Are Exponential Growth Models?

An exponential growth model describes a quantity that changes at a rate proportional to its current value. If a population grows by 5% each year, the number of new members each year depends on how large the population already is — which is the defining characteristic of exponential, not linear, growth.

The general exponential model is written Q(t) = Q0 times e^(rt), where Q0 is the initial amount at time t = 0, r is the continuous rate of change (positive for growth, negative for decay), and t is time in whatever unit the problem specifies.

The Exponential Growth/Decay Model

Q(t) = Q0 times e^(rt)

Q0 = initial quantity (at t = 0)

r = continuous growth rate (r greater than 0: growth, r less than 0: decay)

t = time elapsed

e = Euler's number, approximately 2.71828

This single formula governs a remarkable range of real-world phenomena: bacteria colonies, radioactive isotopes, investment accounts, atmospheric pressure, drug concentration in the bloodstream, and population projections. The key is identifying Q0, r, and t from the problem context.

All Key Formulas — Quick Reference

Exponential growth model

Q(t) = Q0 * e^(rt)

r greater than 0 for growth, r less than 0 for decay. Q0 = initial amount.

Doubling time

t_double = ln(2) / r approx 0.693 / r

Time for quantity to double. Rule of 72: years approx 72 divided by annual rate %.

Half-life

t_half = ln(2) / |r| approx 0.693 / |r|

Time for quantity to halve. r here is the magnitude of the decay rate.

Half-life form

Q(t) = Q0 * (1/2)^(t/h)

h = half-life period. Equivalent to e-based form with r = negative ln(2) divided by h.

Newton's Law of Cooling

T(t) = T_env + (T0 - T_env) * e^(kt)

k less than 0 for cooling. T_env = ambient temp. T0 = initial object temp.

Compound interest (discrete)

A = P(1 + r/n)^(nt)

P = principal, r = annual rate (decimal), n = compounds per year, t = years.

Continuous compounding

A = P * e^(rt)

Limit of discrete formula as n approaches infinity. Always gives the highest return.

Logistic growth model

P(t) = M / (1 + A * e^(-kt))

M = carrying capacity. k greater than 0. A = (M minus P0) divided by P0.

Base conversion

a^x = e^(x * ln(a))

Converts any base-a exponential to e-based form. Useful for calculus.

Finding r from two points

r = ln(Q2 / Q1) / (t2 - t1)

Divide the two equations to eliminate Q0, then take the natural log.

Linear vs. Exponential Growth

The critical distinction between linear and exponential growth is how much the quantity increases each step. Linear growth adds a constant amount. Exponential growth multiplies by a constant factor. This difference becomes dramatic over long time spans.

PropertyLinear GrowthExponential Growth
FormulaQ(t) = Q0 + rtQ(t) = Q0 * e^(rt)
Change per stepConstant amount addedConstant factor multiplied
Graph shapeStraight lineCurved (upward or downward)
ExampleSaving $200/monthAccount earning 5% annual interest
After 10 steps at rate 2Q0 + 20Q0 * e^20 approx 485 million times Q0
Identifying from tableConstant differencesConstant ratios

How to identify exponential from a table of values

Compute ratios of consecutive Q values. If Q(1)/Q(0) = Q(2)/Q(1) = Q(3)/Q(2) (all the same constant), the relationship is exponential. That common ratio equals e^r, so r = ln(ratio). If the differences are constant instead, the model is linear.

Worked Problem 1 — Bacteria Doubling Time

Finding growth rate and population at a future time

Problem: A bacteria culture starts with 500 bacteria and doubles every 3 hours. How many bacteria are present after 10 hours? What is the continuous growth rate r?

Step 1 — Identify Q0 and the doubling condition

Q0 = 500

Q(3) = 1000 (doubles at t = 3 hours)

Step 2 — Find the growth rate r

1000 = 500 * e^(r * 3)

2 = e^(3r)

ln(2) = 3r

r = ln(2) / 3 approx 0.6931 / 3 approx 0.2310 per hour

Step 3 — Build the complete model

Q(t) = 500 * e^(0.2310t)

Step 4 — Evaluate at t = 10 hours

Q(10) = 500 * e^(0.2310 * 10) = 500 * e^(2.310)

e^(2.310) approx 10.079

Q(10) approx 500 * 10.079 approx 5,040 bacteria

Sanity check: at t = 3, Q = 500 * 2 = 1000 (doubled). At t = 6, Q = 500 * 4 = 2000 (doubled twice). At t = 9, Q = 500 * 8 = 4000. At t = 10, slightly above 4000. Answer of ~5040 is reasonable.

Doubling Time Formula

The doubling time formula tells you how long it takes for a quantity to double under continuous exponential growth. It is derived by setting Q(t) = 2 Q0 and solving for t.

2 Q0 = Q0 * e^(rt_double)

2 = e^(rt_double)

ln(2) = r * t_double

t_double = ln(2) / r approx 0.693 / r

Growth Rate r (per year)Doubling Time (exact)Rule of 72 Estimate
1% = 0.01ln(2) / 0.01 = 69.3 years72 / 1 = 72 years
2% = 0.02ln(2) / 0.02 = 34.7 years72 / 2 = 36 years
3% = 0.03ln(2) / 0.03 = 23.1 years72 / 3 = 24 years
6% = 0.06ln(2) / 0.06 = 11.6 years72 / 6 = 12 years
10% = 0.10ln(2) / 0.10 = 6.93 years72 / 10 = 7.2 years
23% = 0.23ln(2) / 0.23 = 3.01 years72 / 23 = 3.1 years

The Rule of 72 is a mental math shortcut: doubling time in years is approximately 72 divided by the annual interest rate as a percentage. It overestimates slightly for very high rates and underestimates slightly for very low ones.

Worked Problem 2 — Radioactive Isotope Half-Life

Carbon-14 dating and the half-life formula

Problem: Carbon-14 has a half-life of 5,730 years. An archaeological artifact is found to contain 30% of its original carbon-14. How old is the artifact?

Step 1 — Set up the model

Q(t) = Q0 * (1/2)^(t/5730)

Alternatively: Q(t) = Q0 * e^(kt) where k = negative ln(2) / 5730 approx negative 0.000121

Step 2 — Apply the given condition (30% remaining)

0.30 * Q0 = Q0 * (1/2)^(t/5730)

0.30 = (1/2)^(t/5730)

Step 3 — Take the natural log of both sides

ln(0.30) = (t/5730) * ln(1/2)

negative 1.2040 = (t/5730) * (negative 0.6931)

t/5730 = 1.2040 / 0.6931 = 1.7373

t = 5730 * 1.7373 approx 9,955 years old

Key Insight: Carbon-14 Dating Range

Carbon-14 is useful for dating artifacts up to about 50,000 years old (roughly 8 to 9 half-lives). Beyond that, so little C-14 remains that measurement error dominates. For older materials, scientists use uranium-238 (half-life 4.47 billion years) or potassium-40 (half-life 1.25 billion years).

The Half-Life Formula — Deep Dive

Half-life (denoted h) is the time required for a decaying quantity to reduce to half its current value. Like doubling time, it is derived from the core exponential model. The two forms of the half-life equation are fully equivalent.

Form 1 — Half-life base

Q(t) = Q0 * (1/2)^(t/h)

Direct: after t/h half-lives have passed, the quantity is Q0 times (1/2)^n where n is the number of half-lives.

Form 2 — e-base with decay constant

Q(t) = Q0 * e^(negative(ln 2 / h)t)

The decay constant k = negative ln(2)/h. Note that k is negative because the quantity is decreasing.

Converting between the two forms

Start with: Q(t) = Q0 * (1/2)^(t/h)

Rewrite (1/2) = e^(ln(1/2)) = e^(negative ln 2)

So: Q(t) = Q0 * [e^(negative ln 2)]^(t/h) = Q0 * e^(negative(ln 2 / h)t)

Therefore k = negative ln(2) / h

IsotopeHalf-LifeDecay Constant kApplication
Carbon-145,730 yearsapprox negative 0.000121 /yrArchaeological dating
Uranium-2384.47 billion yearsapprox negative 1.55 x 10^-10 /yrGeological age of rocks
Iodine-1318.02 daysapprox negative 0.0864 /dayMedical thyroid treatment
Radon-2223.82 daysapprox negative 0.181 /dayRadiation safety
Polonium-210138.4 daysapprox negative 0.00501 /dayResearch applications

Worked Problem 3 — Savings Account Comparison

Compound interest: discrete vs. continuous compounding

Problem: You invest $8,000 at 4.5% annual interest. Compare (a) quarterly compounding and (b) continuous compounding after 20 years. How long does continuous compounding take to double your money?

Part (a) — Quarterly compounding

A = P(1 + r/n)^(nt)

A = 8000(1 + 0.045/4)^(4 * 20)

A = 8000(1.01125)^80

A = 8000 * 2.4380 approx

A approx $19,504 after 20 years

Part (b) — Continuous compounding

A = Pe^(rt) = 8000 * e^(0.045 * 20)

A = 8000 * e^(0.9) = 8000 * 2.4596

A approx $19,677 after 20 years

Continuous earns $173 more than quarterly compounding over 20 years.

Part (c) — Doubling time at continuous 4.5%

t_double = ln(2) / r = 0.6931 / 0.045

t_double approx 15.4 years

Rule of 72: 72 / 4.5 = 16 years (close to the exact answer).

CompoundingnFormulaBalance after 20 years
Annually18000(1.045)^20$19,316
Semi-annually28000(1.0225)^40$19,453
Quarterly48000(1.01125)^80$19,504
Monthly128000(1.00375)^240$19,557
Daily3658000(1+0.045/365)^(7300)$19,670
Continuouslyinfinity8000 * e^(0.9)$19,677

Worked Problem 4 — Population Projections

Finding r from two data points, then projecting forward

Problem: A city had a population of 240,000 in 2005 and 310,000 in 2015. Assuming exponential growth, find the growth rate and predict the population in 2035. When will the population reach 500,000?

Step 1 — Set t = 0 at year 2005, establish model

P(t) = 240000 * e^(rt)

At t = 10 (year 2015): P(10) = 310000

Step 2 — Solve for r

310000 = 240000 * e^(10r)

310000 / 240000 = e^(10r)

1.2917 = e^(10r)

10r = ln(1.2917) = 0.2557

r = 0.02557 approx 2.56% per year (continuous)

Step 3 — Complete model and predict 2035 (t = 30)

P(t) = 240000 * e^(0.02557t)

P(30) = 240000 * e^(0.02557 * 30) = 240000 * e^(0.7671)

e^(0.7671) approx 2.154

P(30) approx 517,000 people in 2035

Step 4 — When does population reach 500,000?

500000 = 240000 * e^(0.02557t)

500000 / 240000 = e^(0.02557t)

ln(2.0833) = 0.02557t

0.7340 = 0.02557t

t = 0.7340 / 0.02557 approx 28.7 years after 2005

Population reaches 500,000 around year 2033 to 2034.

Newton's Law of Cooling

Newton's Law of Cooling states that the rate at which an object cools is proportional to the difference between its temperature and the ambient (surrounding) temperature. This leads to an exponential model for the object's temperature over time.

T(t) = T_env + (T0 minus T_env) * e^(kt) where k is less than 0

T(t) = temperature of the object at time t

T_env = constant ambient temperature

T0 = initial object temperature at t = 0

k = cooling constant (negative, determined from data)

Why k must be negative

If the object is hotter than its surroundings (T0 greater than T_env), then (T0 minus T_env) is positive. For T(t) to decrease toward T_env as t increases, the exponential term e^(kt) must approach 0, which requires k to be negative. The temperature difference decays exponentially.

Worked Problem 5 — Cooling Coffee

Newton's Law of Cooling with two stages

Problem: A cup of coffee is brewed at 200°F and placed in a 72°F room. After 8 minutes it has cooled to 170°F. (a) Find the cooling constant k. (b) What is the temperature after 25 minutes? (c) How long until the coffee reaches a comfortable 140°F?

Setup

T(t) = 72 + (200 minus 72) * e^(kt) = 72 + 128 * e^(kt)

Part (a) — Find k using T(8) = 170

170 = 72 + 128 * e^(8k)

98 = 128 * e^(8k)

e^(8k) = 98/128 = 0.7656

8k = ln(0.7656) = negative 0.2674

k = negative 0.03343 per minute

Part (b) — Temperature at t = 25 minutes

T(25) = 72 + 128 * e^(negative 0.03343 * 25)

T(25) = 72 + 128 * e^(negative 0.8358)

T(25) = 72 + 128 * 0.4336

T(25) approx 72 + 55.5 approx 127.5°F

Part (c) — Time to reach 140°F

140 = 72 + 128 * e^(negative 0.03343 t)

68 = 128 * e^(negative 0.03343 t)

e^(negative 0.03343 t) = 68/128 = 0.53125

negative 0.03343 t = ln(0.53125) = negative 0.6325

t = 0.6325 / 0.03343

t approx 18.9 minutes to reach a comfortable 140°F

Logistic Growth Model — Bounded Populations

Pure exponential growth is unrealistic for any real population because resources are limited. The logistic growth model adds a carrying capacity M — the maximum sustainable population — that acts as an upper bound. Growth is fastest when the population is at M/2, then slows as it approaches M.

P(t) = M / (1 + A * e^(negative kt))

M = carrying capacity (maximum population)

k = growth rate constant (positive)

A = (M minus P0) / P0, determined from the initial population P0

As t approaches infinity, P(t) approaches M from below

Behavior of the logistic curve

  • Early stage: nearly identical to exponential growth
  • Middle stage: growth rate is fastest near P = M/2
  • Late stage: growth slows dramatically, P approaches M asymptotically
  • The inflection point occurs at P = M/2

Applications of logistic growth

  • Wildlife population modeling
  • Spread of epidemics (SIR model component)
  • Market saturation for new products
  • Bacterial growth in a limited nutrient medium
  • Adoption curves for technology

Example: A deer population in a wildlife reserve

Carrying capacity M = 1000 deer. Initial population P0 = 100 deer. k = 0.4.

A = (1000 minus 100) / 100 = 900 / 100 = 9

Model: P(t) = 1000 / (1 + 9 * e^(negative 0.4t))

At t = 5: P(5) = 1000 / (1 + 9 * e^(negative 2)) = 1000 / (1 + 9 * 0.1353)

= 1000 / (1 + 1.218) = 1000 / 2.218 approx 451 deer

At t = 10: P(10) = 1000 / (1 + 9 * e^(negative 4)) approx 858 deer

Worked Problem 6 — Uranium-238 Geological Dating

Using radioactive decay with a very long half-life

Problem: Uranium-238 decays to lead-206 with a half-life of 4.47 billion years. A rock sample contains uranium-238 and lead-206 in a 3:1 ratio by mass (meaning 75% of the original U-238 remains as U-238, and 25% has decayed to Pb-206). Estimate the age of the rock.

Step 1 — Interpret the ratio

If 75% of the original U-238 is still present, then Q(t) = 0.75 Q0.

Assumption: all Pb-206 in the sample came from U-238 decay (reasonable for very old rocks with no initial Pb-206).

Step 2 — Set up the decay model

Q(t) = Q0 * (1/2)^(t / 4.47 billion)

0.75 Q0 = Q0 * (1/2)^(t / 4.47)

0.75 = (1/2)^(t / 4.47)

(Using t in billions of years throughout)

Step 3 — Solve for t

ln(0.75) = (t / 4.47) * ln(0.5)

negative 0.2877 = (t / 4.47) * (negative 0.6931)

t / 4.47 = 0.2877 / 0.6931 = 0.4151

t = 4.47 * 0.4151

t approx 1.855 billion years old

For comparison, the Earth's age is approximately 4.54 billion years. Rocks from the Precambrian era (older than 541 million years) commonly show ages in the 1 to 4 billion year range. Uranium-238 decay is one of the most reliable geological clocks because of its extremely long half-life.

Converting Between Exponential Forms

Exponential functions can be written using any positive base. The e-based form Q = Q0 e^(rt) is standard for calculus and most science applications. The base-a form Q = Q0 a^t is sometimes more intuitive for interpreting growth factors. Both forms describe the same function.

Converting from e-base to base-a

Start: Q = Q0 * e^(rt)

Write as: Q = Q0 * (e^r)^t

Let a = e^r, so Q = Q0 * a^t

Example: e^(0.05) approx 1.0513, so r = 5% continuous growth equals about 5.13% effective annual growth.

Converting from base-a to e-base

Start: Q = Q0 * a^t

Use: a = e^(ln a)

So: a^t = [e^(ln a)]^t = e^(t ln a)

Q = Q0 * e^(t * ln(a))

Therefore r = ln(a). Example: a = 1.08 (8% annual growth) gives r = ln(1.08) approx 0.0770 continuous rate.

Practical example: Rewriting a bacteria model

Bacteria triples every 4 hours: Q = Q0 * 3^(t/4)

Convert: 3^(t/4) = e^((t/4) * ln 3) = e^(0.2747t)

So Q = Q0 * e^(0.2747t) where r = 0.2747 per hour

Finding the Growth Rate from Two Data Points

A common exam problem gives you two (time, quantity) data points and asks you to build the exponential model. The technique is to divide the two equations to eliminate Q0, then take the natural log to solve for r.

General method

Given: Q(t1) = Q1 and Q(t2) = Q2

Write: Q2 / Q1 = (Q0 e^(r t2)) / (Q0 e^(r t1)) = e^(r(t2 minus t1))

Then: ln(Q2/Q1) = r * (t2 minus t1)

r = ln(Q2/Q1) / (t2 minus t1)

Then Q0 = Q1 * e^(negative r * t1)

Example: Drug concentration in the bloodstream

A drug concentration was 45 mg/L at t = 2 hours and 20 mg/L at t = 8 hours after administration.

r = ln(20/45) / (8 minus 2) = ln(0.4444) / 6 = (negative 0.8109) / 6

r = negative 0.1352 per hour (decay)

Q0 = 45 * e^(negative (negative 0.1352)(2)) = 45 * e^(0.2704) = 45 * 1.3104 approx 59.0 mg/L at t = 0

Model: C(t) = 59.0 * e^(negative 0.1352 t)

Study Strategy for Exam Day

Step-by-Step Problem Approach

  1. Identify the model type: growth, decay, cooling, or logistic
  2. Write the formula template and label every variable from the problem
  3. Use given conditions to find unknown constants (k or r)
  4. Write the complete model equation
  5. Answer the specific question (evaluate at t, or solve for t)
  6. Check units and whether the answer is reasonable

Common Mistakes to Avoid

  • Confusing the decay rate magnitude with k (k must be negative for decay)
  • Using percentage rate r instead of decimal rate r
  • Forgetting to check whether the problem asks for continuous vs. discrete compounding
  • In Newton's Law of Cooling, forgetting to subtract T_env before applying the model
  • Misidentifying which quantity is Q0 and which is Q(t)
  • Confusing half-life h with the decay constant k

Key Relationships to Memorize

Doubling time: t = ln(2) / r

Half-life: h = ln(2) / |k|

k from half-life: k = negative ln(2) / h

Rule of 72: years approx 72 / (rate%)

Base conversion: a^t = e^(t ln a)

Two-point r: r = ln(Q2/Q1) / (t2 minus t1)

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the exponential growth model formula?

The exponential growth model is Q(t) = Q0 times e^(rt), where Q0 is the initial quantity, r is the continuous growth rate (r greater than 0 for growth, r less than 0 for decay), t is time, and e is Euler's number approximately 2.71828. This formula describes any quantity that grows or decays at a rate proportional to its current size.

What is the half-life formula in precalculus?

The half-life formula is t = ln(2) divided by r, where r is the decay rate (as a positive number). Equivalently, if the half-life period is h, then at time t the remaining amount is Q(t) = Q0 times (1/2)^(t/h). To find the age of a sample using carbon-14, set up 0.25 times Q0 = Q0 times (1/2)^(t/5730) and solve for t using logarithms.

What is the doubling time formula?

The doubling time formula is t = ln(2) divided by r, where r is the continuous growth rate. Since ln(2) is approximately 0.693, the doubling time is approximately 0.693 divided by r. The Rule of 72 gives a quick approximation: doubling time in years is roughly 72 divided by the annual percentage rate. For example, at 6% per year, doubling time is approximately 72 divided by 6 = 12 years.

How does Newton's Law of Cooling work?

Newton's Law of Cooling states that an object cools at a rate proportional to the difference between its temperature and the surrounding temperature. The formula is T(t) = T_env plus (T0 minus T_env) times e^(kt), where T_env is the ambient temperature, T0 is the initial object temperature, k is a negative constant, and t is time. To use it, first find k using a known temperature at a specific time, then evaluate T(t) at any desired time.

What is the logistic growth model?

The logistic growth model is P(t) = M divided by (1 plus A times e^(negative kt)), where M is the carrying capacity (maximum sustainable population), k is the growth rate constant, and A is determined by the initial condition. Unlike pure exponential growth, logistic growth slows as the population approaches M, producing an S-shaped curve. It is used when resources are limited.

How do you convert between exponential forms (e-based vs base-a)?

Any exponential function of the form y = a^x can be written in e-based form as y = e^(x times ln(a)), because a = e^(ln(a)). Conversely, Q = Q0 times e^(rt) can be written as Q = Q0 times b^t where b = e^r. This is useful because e-based form is standard for calculus, while base-a form is easier to interpret as percentage growth per period.

How do you find the growth rate r from two data points?

Given two data points (t1, Q1) and (t2, Q2): write Q2 = Q0 times e^(r times t2) and Q1 = Q0 times e^(r times t1). Divide: Q2 divided by Q1 = e^(r times (t2 minus t1)). Take the natural log of both sides: ln(Q2 divided by Q1) = r times (t2 minus t1). Solve: r = ln(Q2 divided by Q1) divided by (t2 minus t1). Then Q0 = Q1 times e^(negative r times t1).

Related Topics

Practice Exponential Growth Models

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